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2021 Farmers Insurance Open odds: Surprising PGA Picks & Predictions

SportsLine simulated the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard

Torrey Pines delivers some of the most scenic vistas in tournament golf, and the PGA Tour’s best return to the San Diego venue once again beginning Thursday for the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open. The North and South courses are once again used for the first two rounds, with the 7,765 yards, par-72 South Course — which also is the setting for the 2021 U.S. Open — the setting for the final two rounds. Marc Leishman earned his fifth career PGA Tour title last season by firing a final-round 65 to win the Farmers Insurance Open. He’ll defend against a stellar 2021 Farmers Insurance Open field that includes Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka, Adam Scott and Jon Rahm.

At 7-1, Rahm is currently the betting favorite in the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open odds from William Hill Sportsbook. McIlroy is at 8-1 and Xander Schauffele is 14-1 on the PGA odds board, while Leishman is listed as a 33-1 long shot. Before making any 2021 Farmers Insurance Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour in June. In fact, it’s up over $10,800 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

In the final standard PGA event of 2020, McClure nailed Viktor Hovland’s win at +2500 in his best bets. That was one of many huge calls he made last year. After nailing Sergio Garcia (+5500) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Sanderson Farms Championship, McClure finished up over $6,200 yet again on his best bets. The model had him in the top-five from the start and McClure’s best bets included Garcia winning outright. Those who followed that advice saw a massive +5500 return.

He also finished profitable at the U.S. Open, nailing two of his best bets, including a +1100 top-five bet on Matthew Wolff. McClure hit a top-five bet (+1200) on Doc Redman at the Wyndham Championship, finishing up over $700 on his best bets. Those are just some of his recent big returns.

In all, the advanced computer model has also nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

The model’s top 2021 Farmers Insurance Open predictions

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Farmers Insurance Open 2021: Patrick Reed, an eight-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top Vegas favorites at William Hill, fails to crack the top 10. Reed has finished T-14 or better in three of his last five starts, which includes a top-10 finish at the Masters in November. However, Reed has failed to crack the top-20 in each of his last two outings and he missed the cut last week at The American Express.

Reed’s inconsistent performances can be directly attributed to his inability to find the green in regulation. The 30-year-old enters this week’s event ranked 185th in greens in regulation percentage (65.12), which doesn’t bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Farmers Insurance Open 2021 field.

Another surprise: Sungjae Im, a massive 28-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. Im has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 2020 Honda Classic champion, Im has teed it up 11 times already in the 2020-21 wraparound season.

Im is coming off a 12th-place finish at The American Express last week, an effort that included a third-round 65 to vault him into contention. Im placed second at The Masters in November and fifth at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, and already has over $1.8 million in earnings this season. Im has made the cut in both previous appearances at Torrey Pines, shooting par or better in seven of eight rounds, which makes him a great choice for 2021 Farmers Insurance Open bets.

How to make 2021 Farmers Insurance Open picks

Also, the model is targeting four other golfers with odds of 28-1 or higher to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins the Farmers Insurance Open 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 Farmers Insurance Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed six golf majors and is up over $10,800 since the restart, and find out.

2021 Farmers Insurance Open odds (via William Hill)

Jon Rahm 7-1
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Xander Schauffele 14-1
Tony Finau 20-1
Patrick Reed 25-1
Harris English 25-1
Viktor Hovland 28-1
Sungjae Im 28-1
Hideki Matsuyama 28-1
Scottie Scheffler 33-1
Matthew Wolff 33-1
Brooks Koepka 33-1
Marc Leishman 33-1
Jason Day 35-1
Si-Woo Kim 35-1
Bubba Watson 40-1
Will Zalatoris 45-1
Adam Scott 45-1
Cameron Davis 50-1
Louis Oosthuizen 50-1
Ryan Palmer 50-1
Cameron Smith 50-1
Jason Kokrak 55-1
Billy Horschel 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Cameron Champ 60-1
Jordan Spieth 66-1
Sam Burns 66-1
Rickie Fowler 66-1
Gary Woodland 66-1
Francesco Molinari 70-1
Carlos Ortiz 80-1
Talor Gooch 90-1
Doug Ghim 100-1
Lanto Griffin 100-1
Charles Howell 100-1
Erik Van Rooyen 100-1
Byeong Hun An 100-1
Emiliano Grillo 100-1
Alex Noren 100-1
Charley Hoffman 100-1

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