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2021 QBE Shootout odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that’s nailed seven majors

SportsLine’s proven golf model has simulated the QBE Shootout 2021 10,000 times and revealed its PGA picks


The 2021-22 PGA Tour schedule concludes the calendar year with the 2021 QBE Shootout starting Friday at Tiburon Golf Course in Naples, Fla. There are no FedEx Cup points on the line in this event, but a prize pool of $3.6 million should help keep the players motivated. Twenty-four golfers are in the field and they’re split up into a dozen teams of two. This event has been dominated by the team of Harris English and Matt Kuchar, who are paired up again this year. They’re the defending champions and they’ve won three times overall.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the English/Kucher team at 13-2 in the latest 2021 QBE Shootout odds. They are behind only Sam Burns/Billy Horschel (4-1) and Kevin Na/Jason Kokrak (11-2) on the PGA odds board for this week. Before making any 2021 QBE Shootout picks, be sure to see the PGA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it’s up almost $10,000 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

At the 2021 World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba in November, the model was all over Viktor Hovland (18-1) winning his third PGA Tour title.

At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. He was also all over Daniel Berger (+220) and Emiliano Grillo (+700) finishing inside the top-20. McClure’s best bets netted over $2,200 at the 2021 Open Championship.

In addition, McClure’s model was all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. And at the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Rahm’s (+250) top-five finish in his best bets, as well as Corey Conners’ (+550) top-10 showing.

This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2021 QBE Shootout field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.

The model’s top 2021 QBE Shootout predictions


One major surprise the model is calling for at the QBE Shootout 2021: The Max Homa/Kevin Kisner team, one of the favorites at 7-1, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10 of this 12-team field. Neither golfer was in the field last year. Kisner, however, played in 2018 and he struggled mightily as he was teamed up with Cameron Champ.

That duo finished last that year, a whopping 16 shots off the lead. Homa won the Fortinet Championship earlier this season, but he’s been in bad form since that point, finishing T35 or worse in his next three events. That includes a missed cut at the RSM Classic in November. Kisner has struggled this season, missing the cut in two of his three events thus far. The model says they’re not a strong value at 7-1, so this is a team to avoid in 2021 QBE Shootout bets.

Another surprise: The Ian Poulter/Charles Howell III team, a big 12-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. They have a better chance to win than the odds imply, making them a team to back.

Poulter recorded a top-five finish at this event in 2019 when he played with Graeme McDowell. Howell, meanwhile, has made several appearances at the QBE Shootout and was part of a team that tied for third in 2018 when he teamed up with Luke List. Their experience in this setting should pay dividends, and the model likes this team to finish inside the top five, making it one of the PGA sleeper picks to consider for this week.

How to make 2021 QBE Shootout picks

The model is also targeting two other teams with odds of 11-1 or higher who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big.

2021 QBE Shootout odds


Sam Burns/Billy Horschel 4-1
Jason Kokrak/Kevin Na 11-2
Harris English/Matt Kuchar 13-2
Max Homa/Kevin Kisner 7-1
Jason Day/Marc Leishman 8-1
Corey Conners/Graeme McDowell 11-1
Sean O’Hair/Will Zalatoris 12-1
Matt Jones/Ryan Palmer 12-1
Ian Poulter/Charles Howell III 12-1
Brian Harman/Hudson Swafford 12-1
K.H. Lee/Brandt Snedeker 16-1
Bubba Waton/Lexi Thompson 33-1

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