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2024 RBC Canadian Open odds, field: Surprising PGA picks

SportsLine’s proven model simulated the RBC Canadian Open 2024 10,000 times and revealed its surprising golf picks

The PGA plays its first tournament of the year north of the United States border as the 2024 RBC Canadian Open tees off from Hamilton Golf Club in Ontario, Canada on Thursday at 6:45 a.m. ET. Rory McIlroy is the +330 favorite and the only golfer ranked in the top 10 in the world competing at the RBC Canadian Open 2024. This leaves a rather wide-open 2024 RBC Canadian Open field with the chance to see new winners and golfers earn valuable points toward the FedEx Cup standings. Sahith Theegala, ranked No. 12 in the world, is listed at +2000 and Tommy Fleetwood, ranked No. 13, is listed at +1800 in the latest 2024 RBC Canadian Open odds.

Canadian Nick Taylor won last year’s RBC Canadian Open as a significant longshot with odds longer than 50-1. Could there be a similar longshot with value this year? Taylor is +7000 to repeat as champion, so should you include him to win again in his native country in 2024 RBC Canadian Open bets? Before making any 2024 RBC Canadian Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000. And at the 2024 PGA Championship, the model correctly called Xander Schauffele’s first major victory heading into the weekend.

The model also predicted Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 12 majors entering the weekend, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the RBC Canadian Open 2024 field is finalized, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 RBC Canadian Open predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the RBC Canadian Open 2024: Fleetwood, who finished as the runner-up last year and has the second-shortest odds this year, stumbles and barely cracks the top five. Fleetwood has made the cut in 114 of 136 PGA Tour events that he has played in, but he is still seeking his first victory. He has been outside the top 10 in his last three tournaments this season, including a T49 finish at the RBC Heritage.

Fleetwood ranks outside the top 100 on the PGA Tour in driving distance, GIR percentage and shots gained: approach to green. He did not play in this event when it was hosted by Hamilton Golf Club in 2019, which puts him at a disadvantage against some of the other golfers in the field. SportsLine’s model does not like Fleetwood’s chances of finally breaking through with a PGA Tour victory this week. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Taylor Pendrith, a 65-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 32-year-old recently won the CJ Cup Byron Nelson on May 5 and finished 11th or better in four straight tournaments entering the PGA Championship. Pendrith missed the cut at the PGA Championship but he only shot a 1-over par over his two days, keeping him close to the cut line.

Pendrith, a native of Ontario, played in the RBC Canadian Open twice as an amateur at Kent State University and once as a professional, making the cut twice. Pendrith played on various international tours before working his way up to the PGA Tour full-time in the 2021-22 PGA Tour season. Pendrith looks to become the second straight Canadian golfer to win the RBC Canadian Open and Taylor won with similar odds to him last year. Given his stronger play as of late and the chance to compete in his native Ontario, the model projects value in Pendrith to shock the PGA world at 65-1 odds. See who else to back here.

How to make 2024 RBC Canadian Open picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Rory McIlroy +330
Tommy Fleetwood +1800
Sahith Theegala +2000
Shane Lowry +2200
Cameron Young +2200
Sam Burns +2500
Alex Noren +2500
Corey Conners +2500
Adam Scott +3000
Keith Mitchell +3500
Maverick McNealy +4000
Aaron Rai +4500
Mackenzie Hughes +4500
Akshay Bhatia +5000
Tom Kim +5000
Davis Thompson +5000
Erik van Rooyen +5500
Adam Hadwin +5500
Taylor Pendrith +6000
Kevin Yu +7000
Nick Taylor +7000
Matt Wallace +7500
Daniel Berger +7500
Doug Ghim +8000
Ryan Fox +8000
Mark Hubbard +8000
Ben Griffin +8000
Nicolai Hojgaard +8000
Robert MacIntyre +8000
Beau Hossler +8000
Ryo Hisatsune +9000
Davis Riley +9000
Thorbjorn Olesen +9000
Seamus Power +10000
Eric Cole +10000
Adam Svensson +10000
Sam Stevens +11000
Greyson Sigg +11000
K.H. Lee +11000
S.H. Kim +11000
Luke List +11000
Matt Kuchar +12000
Andrew Novak +12000
Chan Kim +12000
Jhonattan Vegas +12000
Joseph Bramlett +12000
Nate Lashley +12000
Justin Lower +12000
Victor Perez +12000
Michael Kim +12000
Bud Cauley +12000
Sam Ryder +15000
Mac Meissner +15000
Chesson Hadley +15000
Kevin Tway +15000
Matti Schmid +15000
Ben Silverman +15000
C.T. Pan +15000
J.J. Spaun +15000
Gary Woodland +15000

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